Freeport-McMoRan Today
- 52-Week Range
- $27.66
▼
$52.61
- Dividend Yield
- 0.67%
- P/E Ratio
- 33.99
- Price Target
- $51.00
Shares of Freeport-McMoRan Inc. NYSE: FCX are down over 1.3% after the mining company delivered a double beat in its second-quarter earnings report. This is a reversal after FCX had bounced 1.3% higher at the market open.
Top-line revenue of $7.6 billion beat expectations for $6.8 billion and was 15% higher than the $6.6 billion recorded in the same quarter last year. On the bottom line, the 56 cents in earnings per share (EPS) was 20% higher than the 46 cents expected by analysts. It was also just over 20% higher on a year-over-year basis.
The strong results were backed by rising consolidation volumes in copper and gold, which are supported by rising prices in both metals.
But as many investors know, it’s the future that matters. Freeport-McMoRan forecasts “supportive fundamentals for copper pricing” for the rest of the year. That’s supported by copper inventories that are still near historic lows at a time when copper demand is rising.
This supply-demand dynamic is bullish for basic materials stocks in general. Specific to FCX stock, it’s not hard to see a new all-time high (ATH) by the end of the year.
Freeport-McMoRan Is Well Positioned for a Unique Setup
Freeport-McMoRan emphasized that demand is favorable in the company’s long-term earnings presentation. Over 65% of the world’s copper is used in applications that deliver electricity. That ties into key themes in the United States, including:
- Electric vehicles (EVs) and renewables
- Artificial intelligence (AI)/data center buildouts
- U.S. re-shoring and infrastructure
Freeport-McMoran is the dominant copper producer in the United States and is uniquely positioned to increase copper production to meet the increased demand. Plus, the company’s ASIC (all-in sustaining costs) are below $2 at a time when COMEX has the spot price of copper prices at $5.88. This gives the company significant leverage on future earnings.
However, investors shouldn’t forget about gold. While the yellow metal makes up a small percentage of the miner’s revenue, it does act as a margin enhancer and helps boost the company’s free cash flow. This can be particularly true if copper prices consolidate in the short term.
Strong Fundamentals Strengthen the Bull Case
Freeport-McMoRan Stock Forecast Today
$51.00
13.66% UpsideModerate Buy
Based on 18 Analyst Ratings
| Current Price | $44.87 |
|---|---|
| High Forecast | $56.00 |
| Average Forecast | $51.00 |
| Low Forecast | $39.00 |
As expected, Freeport-McMoRan’s capital expenditures (CapEx) were up in the quarter. But investors should be asking if Freeport-McMoRan is using that revenue efficiently.
The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $2.1 billion and operating cash flow of $1.8 billion.
Equally important, the company reduced its net debt to $1.5 billion and maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30%.
Additionally, Freeport-McMoRan is returning some of that capital to shareholders as a secure dividend, which has a payout ratio around 24% and pays 15 cents per share quarterly. The company also repurchased $5.5 billion of shares in the quarter.
Why an All-Time High May Be in Sight
FCX stock is up more than 18% in 2025. Since hitting a low in April, the stock formed an ascending triangle pattern before breaking higher in early July. The move to the upside has been supported by sustained volume has been increasing on days when the stock has been positive.
However, in the last 30 days, the stock has been hitting resistance around $54, and it’s dropped below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Investors will want to see a breakout above the 50-day SMA on above-average volume.
A strong move like that would confirm that institutions continue to buy FCX stock as they’ve been doing for the last two quarters. A breakout above the current resistance level would also put the ATH of $61.54 in sight.
Before you consider Freeport-McMoRan, you’ll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street’s top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on… and Freeport-McMoRan wasn’t on the list.
While Freeport-McMoRan currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
Thinking about investing in Meta, Roblox, or Unity? Enter your email to learn what streetwise investors need to know about the metaverse and public markets before making an investment.
